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jampers
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Post subject: Correct score movement after kick off Posted: Wed Feb 03, 2010 11:21 am |
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Joined: Mon Jan 04, 2010 9:53 am Posts: 10
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Hi guys, Apologies if this has already been covered here but had a look and cant find what i'm after. I'm trying to get to grips of the price movements on the correct score market after kick off. Like which scores will come in and which scores will come out. I know the lower scores like 1-0, 0-1, 1-1 will tend to come in for a while before going back out if there isnt a goal. and the higher scores will go out until there is a goal. Does anyone have access to like a chart with game times and how the scores move under certain circumstances etc.. I guess i could make one of my own but it wouldn't be in depth or very good. Anyway if someone can point me in the right direction i'd be most grateful. If i'm asking too much then many apologies.
Also i have tried soccer mystic but i find it to be as much use as waterproof teabag!
many thanks in advance
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Bingo
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Post subject: Re: Correct score movement after kick off Posted: Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:30 am |
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Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 12:56 am Posts: 27 Location: Toulouse
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Totally agree with your point about Soccer Mystic. Its lack of the required finesse in predicting odds movements answers your question in part. The variables are so numerous that the above software couldn`t do it and I can`t answer you in one post!
It`s a good idea to make your own chart. Start with a general set of parameters like: 0-0 KO odds 30` odds HTodds...etc 2-1 KO odds First Goal scored by fav or dog in first half/second half
you have to build into the above of course what the Match Odds are A 1.50 home FAV will produce odds movements on 2-0 differently to 2.7 MO equal fav for example
Take a look at prices in CS & MO markets about 65/70min mark. The tick rate virtually doubles at this time as most traders are looking to settle their positions (good or bad). If it`s still 0-0 both 1-0 & 0-1 will begin their drift (sorry, you`ve noted that in your post)
It`s simply a question of sitting through hundreds of hours of games and instinctively knowing pretty accurately what any price will be at key moments
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jampers
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Post subject: Re: Correct score movement after kick off Posted: Thu Feb 04, 2010 10:37 am |
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Joined: Mon Jan 04, 2010 9:53 am Posts: 10
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Thanks for that. I think I will start to look into the movements in more detail and come up with some sort of chart, I'm sure over time it'll grow and I'll be more familiar with the movements and how to predict them better. Many thanks for your reply. Much appreciated.
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adster
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Post subject: Re: Correct score movement after kick off Posted: Thu Feb 04, 2010 2:54 pm |
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Joined: Thu Dec 03, 2009 3:42 pm Posts: 164 Location: Surrey
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Hi jampers,
Bingo is spot on, the best way of learning is watching them day in day out. For example the 2-1 that starts the game at 10s will generally be at worst 24s at half time. And the under 1.5 will end the first half if 0-0 about what the under 2.5 started at. Little things you pick up. Very useful info to aid in trading. 
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jampers
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Post subject: Re: Correct score movement after kick off Posted: Fri Feb 05, 2010 2:17 pm |
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Joined: Mon Jan 04, 2010 9:53 am Posts: 10
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Hi Adster, This is exactly the thing I'm interested in, getting to know all the little bits of useful information. Like you guys say, I'll have to start knuckling down and taking note of movements during different situations.
Many thanks guys,
Jampers
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