statcat wrote:
Hi All
I have seen the "Metaltone" strategy mentioned a couple of times and on todays trade of the day, having not the foggiest idea of what this is could someone please explain it or point me in the direction of a suitable link/url.
Many Thanks
Al
Hello Statcat
Jurber is quite right...here`s a fuller explanation:
1.) Back the current draw odds for 50% of your initial lay bet
2.) Lay the team that scored for 75% of your initial lay bet
This will greatly reduce your liabilities and give you a big green on the team that is behind. Should the team that is behind score an equaliser, lay them off so you profit a bit on each result (NOTE: you won't be able to equalise the profit, so you'll have to play around with a number that works. Usually, I lay for the liability I have on the Draw which means i break even if there is a draw and make a profit if one of the teams goes on to win)
By way of example, let's say the odds to lay the draw are 3.75 and I put $20 on it, giving me a liability of $55 on the draw and green of $20 on either team winning.
The underdog scores and their lay odds go down to 1.9 but the draw odds (to back) only go up to 3.65.
I back the draw @ 3.65 for $10 (50% of $20) and I lay the leading team @ 1.90 for $15 (75% of $20). I now have a $13.65 liability on the draw, a $3.50 liability on the team that scored and a green of $25 on the team that is behind (which is hopefully the favourite). Wort-case scenario is that I will lose $3.50, because if there is an equaliser I will be able to lay off the $25 green to make a guaranteed profit/break-even on any result.
As has been suggested the trick is to pick the right games

I tend to look at teams statistics on SoccerStats.com, particularly their head-to-head, but also their recent form as indicated by their last 8 games. I tend to look for few draws in their H2H and in their recent form. I also like teams who tend to score in the first half which you can see from these stats too.
I also took Adster's advice tend to look for games where one of the teams is below 2.00, the other teams is 4.00 or above and the draw is no higher than 3.75. I will sometimes back 0-0 for insurance, but I play that one by ear.