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 Post subject: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 10:26 am 
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Joined: Thu Dec 24, 2009 12:10 pm
Posts: 11
Hi Guys

Thoughts on this match, comments appreciated

Fulham are a better team than Stoke by league position and are also currently in far better form.
55% of Stokes home games this season have resulted in under 2.5 goals
55% of Fulhams away games this season have resulted in under 2.5 goals

Fulham can come away with at least a draw and a goal fest does not look likely

Strat - Dutch 0-0, 0-1, 1-1, 0-2 and have on your side (scratch bets) 1-0 & 2-0. The odds for this are slightly less than evens. Trade out at 1-1, 2-0 or 0-2 otherwise let it run. Early goals will be the problem and a loss may have to be incurred should there be 2 or more in the first half.

Cheers

Al


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:03 pm 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 2:28 pm
Posts: 18
I might just scalp unders, 0-0, 1-0, 0-1 and 1-1 scorelines, U2.5 at 1.6 is a joke so will focus on under 1.5 . Stoke are tough to break down at home and they dont score many either so I cant see past those scorelines


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 12:46 pm 
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Joined: Thu Dec 03, 2009 3:42 pm
Posts: 164
Location: Surrey
Stoke are pretty dull and dont score many and going through a bad run. Last meeting Dec 08 finished 0-0. Fancy Fulham to nick this but no real clear plans on what to do yet if anything! Like to trade games where feel will involve goals, tend to leave games like this alone. :shock:


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 3:41 pm 
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Joined: Fri Dec 04, 2009 5:10 pm
Posts: 43
Everything I've looked at for this match seems to indicate a draw (with absolutely nothing to show that many, if any, goals will be scored).

So, 0-0 or 1-1 maybe...

Under 1.5 covers 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1...price at time of posting is 2.88. Price of a draw is 3.3 and the CS 1-1 is 7.

For me, I'll probably punt the 1-1 and trade out if a goal...(though it is possible to take a little insurance on the u1.5 if required).


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 5:18 pm 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 2:28 pm
Posts: 18
I have changed my mind and have gone for Fulham clean sheet @3.0 (which seems high to me) with cover on other scores. if Fulham clean sheet then green 25 else scratch or small green only danger is 2-2, 2-3, 3-2 and AUQ none of which I am too worried about....probably famous last words


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 8:31 pm 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 2:28 pm
Posts: 18
well glad i greened up before on the clean sheet for 1Eur... although looking at red 18 on CS... had nice green on 2-1 which I was trying to take.. 3 up in 35min..jesus... did anyone make money on laying unders?


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 10:23 pm 
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Joined: Fri Dec 04, 2009 5:10 pm
Posts: 43
LOL...what a game...traders nightmare if you thought no or low goals!

I took the 1-1, and as soon as Stoke scored I baled out for a scratch return. Then watched the rest of the game and witnessed some of the huge fluctuations in the market as traders did their thing as the goals went in. Fascinating stuff.


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 Post subject: Re: Stoke v Fulham
Posted: Tue Jan 05, 2010 11:57 pm 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:53 am
Posts: 49
Was going to go on unders but seeing that disallowed goal in first ten minutes was enough of a warning for me to exit that!

After Stoke took the lead i took the view this game would produce alot of goals so layed under 4.5 for 1.20!

Traded out at half time to be on safe side!


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