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[ 7 posts ] |
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PhilTerrier
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Post subject: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2010 12:04 pm |
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Joined: Wed Jan 06, 2010 11:56 am Posts: 5
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There are 8 Serie A games this afternoon all with LtD prices of 3.35 to 3.6. 0-0 rare in serie A. Good idea to go and lay the draw on each of them? Hope to trade out as soon as a goal goes in for each match. Any thoughts if the draw does not move out too much after a goal or on this blanket strategy?
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adster
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Post subject: Re: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2010 12:09 pm |
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Joined: Thu Dec 03, 2009 3:42 pm Posts: 164 Location: Surrey
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Yes that is an option. OR lay under 1.5 when price hits say 2.4 to 2.70. Then if a goal goes in you can back that scoreline and providing the goal goes in before say 70 mins at worst you wont lose.
If you ltd and the wrong side score consider the Metaltone strat, ie lay dog 75% and back draw 50% and even cover 1-1.
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PhilTerrier
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Post subject: Re: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2010 12:53 pm |
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Joined: Wed Jan 06, 2010 11:56 am Posts: 5
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Looks like I might be in for a busy afternoon... Thanks Adster
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PhilTerrier
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Post subject: Re: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Wed Jan 06, 2010 2:55 pm |
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Joined: Wed Jan 06, 2010 11:56 am Posts: 5
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In the end layed nil-nil CS on all 8. First 5 up quite quickly. Took Adster's advice and layed under 1.5 goals on the remaining 3 for under 2.7. One of those has already come in (didn't even have time to back the 0-1 as Sampdoria equalised giving me the full lay stake) Just need early second half goals from Cagliari v Roma and Catania v Bologna to make it a good afternoon.
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Human123
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Post subject: Re: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Mon Jan 11, 2010 5:09 pm |
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:53 am Posts: 49
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layed nil-nil???
you know if just one of those came in it would have wiped out your whole days profits?
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adster
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Post subject: Re: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Mon Jan 11, 2010 11:37 pm |
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Joined: Thu Dec 03, 2009 3:42 pm Posts: 164 Location: Surrey
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PhilTerrier wrote: In the end layed nil-nil CS on all 8. First 5 up quite quickly. Took Adster's advice and layed under 1.5 goals on the remaining 3 for under 2.7. One of those has already come in (didn't even have time to back the 0-1 as Sampdoria equalised giving me the full lay stake) Just need early second half goals from Cagliari v Roma and Catania v Bologna to make it a good afternoon. Must have done ok on the other two as well Phil?
Would say though you would need a big bank to lay 0-0 on 8 games. Perhaps a better option would be to lay under 1.5. Providing a goal goes in would say within 60 mins you will win using this strat. After 60 the under 1.5 would not shoot out over what it started and thus not allow a profitable trade, (unless you let it ride and a second goes in of course).
Human is spot on too laying at those odds will be a blow to the bank if you get a 0-0. 
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PhilTerrier
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Post subject: Re: Serie A - Lay the Draw Posted: Wed Jan 13, 2010 11:47 am |
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Joined: Wed Jan 06, 2010 11:56 am Posts: 5
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Looking at all the fixtures I just couldn't see a 0-0 happening. A bit of a risk and thanks to the 1.5 strategy it was a good afternoon. Will look at the lay 1.5 in future. What's the best get-out time when it looks like 0-0 will be the most likely? Ins on the 0-0?
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