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 Post subject: Psychoff
Posted: Thu Jan 14, 2010 9:13 pm 
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Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:11 am
Posts: 6
Anyone solved Psychoff´s trading technics?? For those of you who have not visited his blog (http://psychoff.blogspot.com) Personally I think he is scalping different markets. Anyway I am really fasinated of the team Psychoff, they are really doing it. Making BIG money on soccer, and they have proven it is possible long term. Guess it is too optimistic with a million in a year, but who know they may do it ;)

Anyone got ideas of how he does it??? :lol:


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Sat Jan 16, 2010 5:41 pm 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:53 am
Posts: 49
I would be interested if they even "hinted" at their strategys..

However, a blog full of p&l's is not very interesting and almost pointless.

Just my opinion of course :-)


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 8:35 pm 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 2:28 pm
Posts: 18
they put up hints, but I am a bit skeptical about their validity, sometimes it looks like they post just after event has happened. But if you want to know what they do just look at P&L images Basically they are laying short prices for big amounts on CS and Unders/Overs markets and using law of probability. They laid Bayern 1-0 on fri at 75min mark at about 1.5 or so and cleaned up because second goal. They are not some kind of trading gurus just punting using big amounts for limited liabilities, if you lay at between 20-50% liability then if you are right one in 4 or better then you will make money. They just pick suitable games I think one of them is a bit of a statistics nut so he uses this info to make selections.


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 10:21 pm 
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Joined: Fri Dec 04, 2009 5:06 pm
Posts: 75
I've never heard of this blog, nor have I looked at it, yet! But I frequently lay at low liabilities in cs, o/u and m/o markets and as long as you know your break even point think it can be profitable long term. My problem with it is that I'm not selective enough and although I'm not disciplined enough to keep stats i suspect I'm about level doing this.

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Check out my Compounding Experiment at http://soccercompounding.blogspot.com - comments and followers most welcome... help me with my quest for Disciplined Trading!


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Sun Jan 17, 2010 11:38 pm 
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Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2010 9:54 pm
Posts: 10
Either way, they are doing well, i don't think it's that simple what they've been doing, but laying short prices is profitable long term if right matches selected. I'm almost positive you could lay at 1.01 on the unders market almost blindely on good scoring leagues and you'd make a nice profit.

But still i checked some P&L images and they bet many markets, don't know what their strategy is


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Mon Jan 18, 2010 11:06 am 
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Joined: Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:53 am
Posts: 49
jclive, if you watch the odds you will see they rarely ever hit 1.01 on the unders market.

unless your meaning to lay under 4.5 etc near at start of second half?

Also, to be fair seems they do a bit more talking in their blog now from before.


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Mon Jan 18, 2010 6:02 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jan 15, 2010 11:47 am
Posts: 1
Looks like the blog has come to an end. With all the speculation and stirring it obviously wasn't worthwhile for them to keep it going. Pity

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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Mon Jan 18, 2010 9:26 pm 
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Joined: Sun Dec 06, 2009 11:11 am
Posts: 6
I dont belive they lay small odds. The screenshots that I´ve seen have showed many markets with different matches where they all is winning markets. It lokks like they have to big strike rate to be doing this.


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Mon Jan 18, 2010 9:46 pm 
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Joined: Fri Dec 04, 2009 5:06 pm
Posts: 75
Tippus83 wrote:
I dont belive they lay small odds. The screenshots that I´ve seen have showed many markets with different matches where they all is winning markets. It lokks like they have to big strike rate to be doing this.


Or very selective c&p!

_________________
Check out my Compounding Experiment at http://soccercompounding.blogspot.com - comments and followers most welcome... help me with my quest for Disciplined Trading!


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 Post subject: Re: Psychoff
Posted: Tue Jan 19, 2010 12:12 pm 
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Joined: Mon Dec 07, 2009 2:56 pm
Posts: 28
gundulf wrote:
Tippus83 wrote:
I dont belive they lay small odds. The screenshots that I´ve seen have showed many markets with different matches where they all is winning markets. It lokks like they have to big strike rate to be doing this.


Or very selective c&p!


There was a link on the Racing Traders forum a while back to software that let you create your own P&L Betfair page. The post was just an exercise to show you not to believe everything you read on the internet. It's easy to get carried away when you think you may have found the "golden ticket". I'd love to get rich quick!


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