'taking the poisson'

danjuma · **Joined:** Tue Dec 15, 2009 1:06 pm **Posts:** 6

Hi adster,

Got a question regarding the above strat (one of your nuggets). Is the back odds used the starting back odds for the fav just before the start or the back odds for the fav just before the goal is scored?

Thanks
Dan

Bingo · **Posted:** Mon Feb 22, 2010 8:16 am

danjuma wrote:

Hi adster,

Got a question regarding the above strat (one of your nuggets). Is the back odds used the starting back odds for the fav just before the start or the back odds for the fav just before the goal is scored?

Thanks
Dan

Dan
The calculation is based on taking the prematch fav odds
For example Forest are 2.5 at KO
They score on 35`. 1-0
The market should settle to now make Forest 1.50 (according to the Poisson theory)
Immediately the market reforms put in a BACK bet @ 1.6 and a LAY bet @ 1.4

Bingo

danjuma · **Joined:** Tue Dec 15, 2009 1:06 pm **Posts:** 6

Thanks.

'taking the poisson'

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