The 2-1 Adster Aperitif strat.

adster · **Posted:** Tue Dec 15, 2009 1:27 pm

Again like the other one, been tinkering with this and having some good success instead of backing under 1.5, backing 0-0 from the start.

For example, back 0-0 with say £12 at 12s, come half time the 0-0 will be around 4.3 so you will have a green of £21.

Back 2-1 with £50, and by half time if 0-0 then you will be looking at around a £25 red.

IF of course there is a goal you lose the £12 but the £50 you backed 2-1 at say 10.5 will have £475 green on it and a goal will bring the price into something like 8s.

So 0-0 will be close to scratch or small loss at ht.

Course you can play around and put more on 0-0 or reduce, all down to personal choices.

Human123 · **Joined:** Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:53 am **Posts:** 49

what type of matches would you say this works best on?

and from that example you described what sort of profit would we expect if we get a goal?

adster · **Posted:** Tue Dec 15, 2009 4:42 pm

Best games are home side around 1.80 to 2.40, the 2-1 needs to be no lower than 10s and the 0-0 can be 10s to 13s.

Beauty is IF the dog scores the 2-1 will come in as well as if the home fave scores. BUT with the score at 0-1 another goal to dog loses your entire stakes. So then your options are to lay of 50/75/100% of your 2-1 profit which has dropped from 10s to 8s and then you can put some money on 1-2 as well so whoever scores the next will bring prices in............This worked well over the weekend in a couple of games.

Home side score you can lay say 50/75/100% off and wait for another goal which would see the price drop from 8s to anything from 5s to 8. Very unlikely the price will jump put if correct games picked.

Human123 · **Joined:** Sat Dec 05, 2009 11:53 am **Posts:** 49

what sort of % return can we see if this goes according to plan?

adster · **Posted:** Sat Dec 19, 2009 9:51 am

[quote="Human123"]what sort of % return can we see if this goes according to plan?[/quot

Anything from 50 to 75% ROI if it goes right.

thomasz1 · **Joined:** Mon Dec 21, 2009 9:58 pm **Posts:** 4

i really don't understand that,can you explain me?

Quote:

For example, back 0-0 with say £12 at 12s, come half time the 0-0 will be around 4.3 so you will have a green of £21.

Back 2-1 with £50, and by half time if 0-0 then you will be looking at around a £25 red.

IF of course there is a goal you lose the £12 but the £50 you backed 2-1 at say 10.5 will have £475 green on it and a goal will bring the price into something like 8s.

So 0-0 will be close to scratch or small loss at ht.

Cuz if it's 0-0 at half time,with 12€ on 0-0 we win 21€ but we lose a lot with the 2-1 ( the odds drops really high i think) , so in this case we lose.

If the score is 1-0 or 0-1 at half time,we lose the 12€ but we make a profit on 2-1, if the odds decreases like you say at 8 , we make 15€ profit, so we win 3€ .

Even if it's 2-1 at half time the odds won't be a lot lower,it will be even surely higher,so we lose again, no ?

I surely don't understand something because of my comprehension of english...

STEVEH · **Joined:** Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:25 pm **Posts:** 14

Could you include u1.5 in this strategy, as if there is no goal you have more green and if there is a goal to the fav there is no need lay of all of it and still keeping the risk down while waiting for further goals

adster · **Posted:** Thu Jan 07, 2010 11:11 am

Ok, yes you can use under 1.5 as insurance OR the 0-0 for example.

£10 on under 1.5 at 3.8 at kick off.

£50 on 2-1 at 10s.

Scenarios:

0-0 at half time. You will have a green of about £10 on unders, (3.8 will halve to 1.9)

The 2-1 will at worst be out to 24s. So be looking at around £26 red. So an overall loss of £16.

Remember the insurance is there to reduce losses NOT to be the main earner as you have assessed and believed there would be goals.

Scenario 2:

1-0 or 0-1 after 20 mins.

The 2-1 will come in from 10s to 7.6 to 8s. Now if its 1-0 you can wait knowing another goal to either side should bring the odds in further.............IF its 0-1 to the dog you then have a choice of laying fave in next goal market as insurance IF the dog go 0-2 which would lose ALL your 2-1. OR you can halve your red or eliminate it all and hope the fave equalises which more often than not they will. With the score at 1-1, the 2-1 can come into 4 to 5s.

As for the under 1.5 when a goal is scored. I normally wait a little while for the price to come in and halve my liability ie end up with £5 red on over 1.5. IF 2 goals go in and you lose your £10 then the odds that the 2-1 come in too allow an overall profit.

Hope this helps. In our new set of videos will try and demonstrate this with audio and captions.

STEVEH · **Joined:** Sun Dec 27, 2009 2:25 pm **Posts:** 14

Yes that explains it thanks. I think being a new trader I find myself a little conservative when setting out trades, because as you explain we can finish at ht for scratch or a goal will be scored and we see profit. As a newbie looking at £25 red for up to 45 mins is a bit daunting, but slowly but surely I am getting my head round the psychological side of it all.

Cheers

Rompe Tocas Anao · **Joined:** Fri Jan 08, 2010 6:36 pm **Posts:** 1

Hey, Adster!

Did I get it wrong from your first post?
50 cents of gain doesn't seem a decente gain to me...

The 2-1 Adster Aperitif strat.

Who is online